This World's "Median Value"
This morning, I read an article about cars that made me realize an interesting phenomenon: most of the cars on the market now seem to be hybrids.
Not long ago, the market was fiercely debating whether electric vehicles would completely replace gasoline cars, and the atmosphere made me feel that electric vehicles were truly about to dominate the world. But today, everyone seems to have realized that the "Median Value" is the current answer. This makes me wonder if the logic of this "Median Value" also applies to the rapidly developing field of AI?
1. When Scarcity Disappears, Happiness Depreciates
We see talk of "AI replacing humans" every day, and even Musk is pushing for AI chips to handle internal tasks. Many people dream of a "utopia": just buy an AI to make money for you, and you can relax at home, playing games, eating, drinking, and sleeping all day.
But honestly, I can't imagine that kind of life. Playing around for too long really does get boring. This is what's meant by "scarcity makes things valuable": work may not be fun, but it's precisely the challenges of work that make holidays and rest time rare and precious. If everything becomes commonplace, life loses its value. The middle value in life lies in not overworking, but also not in aimlessly playing.
2. Areas AI Cannot Reach: Emotion and Empathy
While AI is powerful, its shortcomings are also obvious. It often forgets context that being mentioned long time ago and can even do harmful things due to misunderstandings. Most importantly, AI has no emotions.
This is why I believe my profession, "User Experience (UX)," is so important. We can design good products because we have empathy and can think from other people's perspectives. This subtle emotional connection and understanding between people is something that current technology cannot replace.
3. Historical Cases of Predicted "End" Yet Still Existing
Looking back, many technological innovations have predicted the demise of certain industries, but ultimately, they all converged on the middle ground:
Retail Industry: E-commerce vs. physical Stores When Amazon and Taobao emerged, everyone said physical stores were doomed. But ultimately, people discovered that shopping wasn't just about convenience, but also about enjoying the warmth of human interaction. Humans are social animals after all, and we rely on the pleasure derived from this interaction.
Media Reading: E-books vs. Paper Books Kindle was incredibly popular when it first came out, but paper books remain steadfast. The feeling of "touching paper" and "turning pages" provides a truly positive feedback experience of absorbing knowledge, a sense of fulfillment that cannot be felt while scrolling through a phone or tablet.
Finance Industry: Cryptocurrency vs. Traditional Finance Even though the crypto market aims to replace traditional systems, companies like VISA and Mastercard have chosen to partner with it. Because not everyone can fully trust code, those who lack a sense of security still need the human safeguards of traditional finance.
Conclusion: Avoiding absolutes leads to comprehensive thinking
Nothing in this world seems "absolute." Like in a relationship, after arguments, couples eventually sit down and discuss a compromise.
Instead of worrying about who will be replaced, focus on finding that balance. "Avoiding extremes and thinking more comprehensively"—I believe this is the real opportunity for the future.